Role overview

Senior Machine Learning Engineer II, Ads Response Prediction

Requirements and responsibilities

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About the Job

  • Lead research and development of pCTR and conversion prediction models, with a focus on improving calibration, reducing training data biases (selection bias, position bias, optimizer’s curse), and advancing model accuracy across Instacart’s ads surfaces.
  • Design and implement debiasing techniques such as Mixed Negative Sampling (MNS), Inverse Propensity Weighting (IPW), counterfactual risk minimization, and calibration methods (Platt scaling, isotonic regression) to address systematic prediction biases.
  • Contribute to the next-generation Multi-Domain Multi-Task (MDMT) model architecture, incorporating innovations like Mixture-of-Experts (MoE), Transformer layers for sequential user behavior, and LoRA adaptors for scalable domain fine-tuning.
  • Drive sequence modeling initiatives including the TIGER generative retrieval system and Semantic ID representation learning, expanding their application across ads surfaces such as Product Details, Search and other placements.
  • Collaborate with the broader ML community in the company on the path toward Foundation Models using autoregressive user behavior prediction.
  • Formulate and scope ambiguous modeling problems from first principles. Translate business observations (e.g., overcalibration patterns, cold-start underperformance) into well-defined ML research directions with clear evaluation criteria.
  • Publish and present findings internally. Contribute to the team’s culture of technical rigor through design reviews, paper sharing, and experiment retrospectives.

Minimum Qualifications

  • PhD/Master in machine learning, statistics, computer science, information retrieval, or a closely related quantitative field.
  • 6+ years of combined academic and industry experience (including PhD research) applying ML to ranking, recommendation, or prediction problems at scale.
  • Deep understanding of CTR/conversion prediction modeling, including familiarity with architectures such as Deep & Wide, DeepFM, DCN, and multi-task learning formulations.
  • Strong foundation in causal inference, counterfactual reasoning, and training data bias mitigation. Ability to reason about selection bias, position bias, and propensity-based correction methods.
  • Proficiency in Python and deep learning frameworks (PyTorch, Tensorflow, JAX). Fluency in data manipulation tools (SQL, Spark, Pandas).
  • Track record of formulating ambiguous problems into well-scoped ML research directions and delivering results through rigorous experimentation.
  • Strong written and verbal communication skills. Ability to explain complex modeling decisions to cross-functional stakeholders including product managers and data scientists.

Preferred Qualifications

  • Experience in ads ranking or auction-based systems (pCTR, bid optimization, ROAS feedback loops, marketplace dynamics).
  • Hands-on experience with autoregressive sequence models for user behavior prediction, generative retrieval, or transformer-based ranking architectures.
  • Familiarity with learned representations such as Semantic IDs, product embeddings, or other approaches to reducing feature cardinality and cold-start challenges.
  • Experience with transfer learning or domain adaptation techniques (e.g., LoRA, adapter-based fine-tuning) applied to recommendation or ranking models.
  • Publication record in top-tier venues (KDD, WWW, RecSys, NeurIPS, ICML, SIGIR, or similar).
  • Experience mentoring junior engineers or shaping technical direction for a modeling team.
  • Familiarity with LLM-driven approaches to recommendation, including prompt-based personalization and AI-assisted model development (AutoML).
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Browse stack
FocusMachine LearningRole area
Seniority signalSeniorCandidate level
StackPython, Spark, SQLPrimary skills
Location1 accepted countryEligibility

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